MX23RW : Monday, December 30 18:56:54| >> :60:24:24:
Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Germany national football team

Poland
1 - 0
Germany

Kiwior (31')
Szymanski (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiaw (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's international friendly with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 1-2 Germany

 There will undoubtedly be a few teething problems along the way as Germany become accustomed to their new shape, but defending has been an issue for Die Mannschaft for a while now, and a striker as lethal as Lewandowski will no doubt make Flick's side pay. The visitors can call upon their attacking talent in reserve to save the day, though, and with Poland also finding their feet under Santos, we expect Flick's side to get back on track in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawGermany
16.74% (-0.292 -0.29) 21.65% (0.023 0.02) 61.6% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.676 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.593 -0.59)46.97% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.557 -0.56)69.21% (0.56100000000001 0.56)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.717 -0.72)41.34% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.638 -0.64)77.86% (0.642 0.64)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.107 -0.11)14.72% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-0.211 -0.21)42.93% (0.215 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Poland 16.74%
    Germany 61.6%
    Draw 21.65%
PolandDrawGermany
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 11.17% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.13% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.6%

How you voted: Poland vs Germany

Poland
52.1%
Draw
15.5%
Germany
32.4%
71
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Germany
0-0
Poland
Khedira (3'), Ozil (34'), Boateng (67')
Maczynski (45'), Grosicki (55'), Peszko (93')
> Match Report
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Germany
3-1
Poland
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-0
Germany
Milik (51'), Mila (88')
Szukala (20'), Lewandowski (56'), Piszczek (93')

Boateng (24'), Bellarabi (86')
> Match Report
May 13, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
0-0
Poland
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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