MX23RW : Wednesday, November 20 16:36:58| >> :60:814:814:
North Macedonia national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Nacionalna Arena Filip II Makedonski
Faroe Islands national football team

N. Macedonia
1 - 0
Faroe Islands

Miovski (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baldvinsson (12'), Petersen (90'), Edmundsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between North Macedonia and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-1 Malta
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: North Macedonia 2-0 Faroe Islands

With the Faroe Islands having recently put together some of their best results in their history, they will be confident of building upon that. However, we feel that North Macedonia will ultimately prove too strong, potentially netting a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawFaroe Islands
67.12% (0.70999999999999 0.71) 20.09% (-0.292 -0.29) 12.78% (-0.417 -0.42)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-0.255 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.298 0.3)48.17% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.274 0.27)70.33% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.58% (0.306 0.31)13.41% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.64% (0.61 0.61)40.36% (-0.61 -0.61)
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.28% (-0.482 -0.48)47.72% (0.48200000000001 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.98% (-0.358 -0.36)83.02% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 67.11%
    Faroe Islands 12.78%
    Draw 20.09%
North MacedoniaDrawFaroe Islands
2-0 @ 12.91% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.65% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.34% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 67.11%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.09%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 12.78%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Faroe Islands

North Macedonia
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Faroe Islands
0.0%
32
rhs 2.0
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