MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 23:22:19| >> :60:119:119:
Malta national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Greece national football team

Malta
2 - 2
Greece

Degabriele (54'), Teuma (67' pen.)
Camenzuli (27'), Pepe (41'), Mbong (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakasetas (39'), Fountas (86')
Siopis (36'), Mantalos (67'), Koulierakis (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Malta and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 3-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Malta 0-3 Greece

Any new manager bounce that takes effect for Malta this week is unlikely to count for much against an in-form Greece side, even if Poyet is without most of his first-choice backline. There is no consistent international goalscorer in the visitors' ranks - Bakasetas is the highest scorer in the current squad with only eight strikes - but the Pirate Ship should still prove far too strong for Malta here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Malta had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Malta win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MaltaDrawGreece
24.35% (0.109 0.11) 22.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 52.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.04% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.82% (0.071999999999996 0.07)42.18% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)64.58% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.12899999999999 0.13)30.9% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (0.151 0.15)67.19% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)16.01% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)45.35% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Malta 24.35%
    Greece 52.76%
    Draw 22.88%
MaltaDrawGreece
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.35%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.0019999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 52.76%

How you voted: Malta vs Greece

Malta
11.5%
Draw
6.6%
Greece
82.0%
61
rhs 2.0
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