Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.52%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 28.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
