MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 00:46:21| >> :60:379:379:
Russia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
VTB Arena (Moskva)
Zambia national football team

Russia
5 - 0
Zambia

Glushenkov (8', 53', 58'), Vakhaniya (44'), Batrakov (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Russia and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Russia 5-0 Grenada
Wednesday, March 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 85.66%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 4-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.67%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
RussiaDrawZambia
85.66% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 9.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0) 4.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.39% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.61% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.5% (-0.055 -0.05)49.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.67% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)54.33% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.52% (-0.039 -0.04)87.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Russia 85.64%
    Zambia 4.46%
    Draw 9.87%
RussiaDrawZambia
3-0 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 9.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 5.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 85.64%
1-1 @ 4.67%
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 9.87%
0-1 @ 1.51%
1-2 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 4.46%

How you voted: Russia vs Zambia

Russia
Draw
Zambia
Russia
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Zambia
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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