MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 14:34:44| >> :60:265:265:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 9, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio Do Algarve
Finland national football team

Sweden
2 - 0
Finland

Nyman (38'), Asoro (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ivanov (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Sweden and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Algeria
Saturday, November 19 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 0-0 Finland

With both nations unable to call upon a raft of talented senior professionals, it could be a dour affair in Portugal on Monday. Both managers will be hoping some of their debutants can impress them ahead of Euro 2024 qualifying beginning in March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawFinland
53.22% (-0.16 -0.16) 25.4% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.39% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (0.174 0.17)55.5% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (0.143 0.14)76.68% (-0.145 -0.14)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (0.007000000000005 0.01)53.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94% (0.269 0.27)41.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (0.239 0.24)77.6% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 53.2%
    Finland 21.39%
    Draw 25.39%
SwedenDrawFinland
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.39%

How you voted: Sweden vs Finland

Sweden
67.4%
Draw
19.6%
Finland
13.0%
46
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2022 12am
Jan 9, 2022 12am
May 29, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
2-0
Finland
Quaison (23'), Larsson (58' pen.)

Alho (31')
Jun 4, 2020 6.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
P-P
Finland
Jan 8, 2019 4.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
0-1
Finland
Markkanen (22')
Taylor (69')
rhs 2.0
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