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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 18, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 1
Albirex Niigata


Ideguchi (45+1'), Nara (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maejima (19' og.)
Akiyama (6'), Watanabe (38'), Arai (54')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, August 12 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawAlbirex Niigata
42.58% (0.775 0.77) 27.31% (-0.128 -0.13) 30.1% (-0.64 -0.64)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (0.263 0.26)56.74% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (0.21 0.21)77.69% (-0.206 -0.21)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.53400000000001 0.53)26.35% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.704 0.7)61.5% (-0.699 -0.7)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.333 -0.33)34.12% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.361 -0.36)70.81% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 42.58%
    Albirex Niigata 30.11%
    Draw 27.31%
Avispa FukuokaDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 8% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.11%

How you voted: Avispa Fukuoka vs Albirex Niigata

Avispa Fukuoka
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Albirex Niigata
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 6am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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