Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Consadole Sapporo win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.