Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.