Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.