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J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 23, 2023 at 6am UK
Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 3
Sagan Tosu

Toyokawa (21'), Kinoshita (90+2' pen.)
Ichimi (51')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ono (22'), Ichimi (32' og.), Honda (41')
Kawahara (16')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawSagan Tosu
37.23% (-0.188 -0.19) 26.89% (0.035 0.04) 35.88% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-0.137 -0.14)53.92% (0.138 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (-0.115 -0.11)75.37% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.176 -0.18)27.99% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.223 -0.22)63.63% (0.222 0.22)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.8% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03)64.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 37.23%
    Sagan Tosu 35.88%
    Draw 26.88%
Kyoto SangaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.88%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 7am
gameweek 31
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Kyoto Sanga
Toyokawa (17')
Apr 10, 2022 8am
gameweek 8
Kyoto Sanga
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Utaka (10', 70'), Kawasaki (14')
Matsuda (35'), Mendes (74'), Asada (87')
Ono (77' pen.)
Ono (60')
rhs 2.0
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