J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 27, 2023 at 11am UK
Nagaragawa Stadium
Nagoya Grampus1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 21 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, October 21 at 5am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
50.96% ( 0.08) | 24.35% ( -0) | 24.68% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.53% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -0.05) | 48.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.05) | 70.46% ( 0.05) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( 0.01) | 18.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( 0.02) | 50.49% ( -0.02) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( -0.09) | 33.95% ( 0.09) |