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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Nagoya Grampus


Tezuka (90+1')
FT

Inagaki (71')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
46.88% (2.642 2.64) 27.49% (-0.575 -0.57) 25.63% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 45.27% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.859 0.86)59.52% (-0.857 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.656 0.66)79.87% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (1.735 1.74)25.44% (-1.733 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (2.312 2.31)60.27% (-2.311 -2.31)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (-1.294 -1.29)39.28% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-1.229 -1.23)75.98% (1.231 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 46.87%
    Nagoya Grampus 25.63%
    Draw 27.49%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.601 0.6)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.466 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.653 -0.65)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.472 -0.47)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.63%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 5am
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Fukuta (2' og.)
Yoshida (88')
Fukuta (30')
Koizumi (80')
Jul 17, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
Apr 18, 2021 7am
Nagoya Grampus
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Inagaki (85')
Nagasawa (44')
Hayashi (6'), Sakai (45')
Hayashi (24'), Iino (31')
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
rhs 2.0
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