Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.