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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 1
Hiroshima

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sasaki (78')
Vieira (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-4 Brighton
Sunday, July 28 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart
Thursday, August 1 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

While Tokyo Verdy have had a solid season upon their return to the top flight, they have struggled against the bigger teams in the league and have already lost twice to their upcoming opponents this term. Sanfrecce have only lost one match on the road all season and they will know that they need to keep winning games to remain within touching distance of the top three. We feel the visitors will manage to secure the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
16.04% (0.0040000000000013 0) 21.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 62.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)47.93% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)70.11% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)42.83% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (-0.012 -0.01)79.14% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)14.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)43.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 16.04%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.36%
    Draw 21.59%
Tokyo VerdyDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.23%
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 16.04%
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima

Tokyo Verdy
38.5%
Draw
0.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Hiroshima
4-1
Tokyo Verdy
Kato (2'), Soteriou (47', 62'), Vieira (81')
Sasaki (32'), Nakano (34')
Kimura (90+4')
Miki (22'), Yamada (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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