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J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
0 - 2
Vissel Kobe

FT(HT: 0-1)
Yamaguchi (40'), Osako (81')
Thuler (70'), Miyashiro (76')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawVissel Kobe
20.48% (0.201 0.2) 25.97% (-0.206 -0.21) 53.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.96% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6% (0.891 0.89)58.4% (-0.88999999999999 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21% (0.692 0.69)79% (-0.691 -0.69)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.3% (0.741 0.74)43.7% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.13% (0.608 0.61)79.88% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.37599999999999 0.38)21.92% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.565 0.56)55.19% (-0.563 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 20.48%
    Vissel Kobe 53.55%
    Draw 25.96%
Nagoya GrampusDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-1 @ 4.98% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 14.53% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.094 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 53.55%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5am
Gameweek 33
Vissel Kobe
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Ide (12'), Muto (14')
Ide (55')
Junker (30')
Inagaki (26'), Morishita (66')
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
2-2
Vissel Kobe
Junker (73'), Fujii (90+8')
Osako (11'), Sasaki (60')
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Oct 24, 2021 7am
Gameweek 33
Nagoya Grampus
2-2
Vissel Kobe
Maeda (6'), Swierczok (14')
Muto (59'), Iniesta (81' pen.)
Samper (31'), Douglas (34'), Sakai (38')
rhs 2.0
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