J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Jubilo Iwata |
40.99% ( 0) | 24.96% ( 0) | 34.05% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% ( -0.02) | 45.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% ( -0.01) | 68.17% ( 0.01) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.01) | 22.31% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.01) | 55.78% ( 0.01) |
Jubilo Iwata Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.01) | 26.03% ( 0.01) |