MX23RW : Friday, January 17 13:34:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Togashi (16'), Ryan (30', 59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Croux (21')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
40.99% (0.0019999999999953 0) 24.96% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.17% (0.012 0.01)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.31% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)61.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 40.99%
    Jubilo Iwata 34.05%
    Draw 24.96%
Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.99%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.05%

Head to Head
May 11, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Jubilo Iwata
0-3
Sagan Tosu
Kanuma (45+1' og.), Ryan (58'), Naganuma (77')
Higashi (27')
Aug 7, 2022 11am
Gameweek 24
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Jubilo Iwata
Miyashiro (43'), Kakita (85')
Naganuma (4')
Jun 18, 2022 10am
Gameweek 17
Jubilo Iwata
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Gonzalez (8', 13'), Kanuma (27')
Gonzalez (47')
Miyashiro (53')
Tashiro (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!