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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 at 7am UK
KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 2
Jubilo Iwata

Ceara (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Germain (5', 71')
Gomes (22'), Hilo (52'), Matsubara (90+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Cerezo
Saturday, October 5 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, October 6 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawJubilo Iwata
44.95% (-0.215 -0.21) 25.57% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 29.48% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (-0.177 -0.18)50.16% (0.176 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (-0.159 -0.16)72.12% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.176 -0.18)22.28% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.262 -0.26)55.73% (0.261 0.26)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.16% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 44.94%
    Jubilo Iwata 29.48%
    Draw 25.57%
Cerezo OsakaDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.48%

Head to Head
Jun 22, 2024 10.30am
Sep 17, 2022 10am
Gameweek 30
Jubilo Iwata
2-2
Cerezo
Kaneko (57'), Shindo (70' og.)
Taggart (25'), Shindo (52')
May 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 12
Cerezo
2-1
Jubilo Iwata
Maikuma (32', 40')
Tameda (74')
Gonzalez (79')
Otsu (88')
rhs 2.0
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