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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
vs.
Nagoya Grampus

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Sagan Tosu vs. Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Next Game: Nagoya Grampus vs. FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 33.14% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
33.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.98% (0.00099999999999767 0) 40.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)50.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)72.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)28.85% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.72% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 33.14%
    Nagoya Grampus 40.88%
    Draw 25.97%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.14%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.88%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 11am
Gameweek 31
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Junker (65')
Yonemoto (77'), Morishita (90+5')
Togashi (89')
Yamazaki (50')
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 3
Sagan Tosu
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Naganuma (83')
Aug 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Tezuka (90+1')
Inagaki (71')
Mar 6, 2022 5am
Gameweek 3
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Fukuta (2' og.)
Yoshida (88')
Fukuta (30')
Koizumi (80')
Jul 17, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3FC Tokyo136432420422
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141713422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
12Tokyo Verdy123721715216
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158
> J1 League Full Table


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