MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:55:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
5 - 2
Kawasaki

Yokoyama (26', 37'), Ryan (44'), Harada (47'), Kawata (75')
Yokoyama (18')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Takai (13'), Ienaga (45+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 11 at 6am in J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Consadole
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
29.41% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 46.38% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.064 0.06)44.23% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)28.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (-0.073 -0.07)63.88% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.094000000000008 0.09)19.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (0.154 0.15)50.91% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 29.41%
    Kawasaki Frontale 46.38%
    Draw 24.2%
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.41%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.38%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 5am
Gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Kawasaki

Harada (60')
Hino (87' og.)
May 7, 2023 7am
Gameweek 12
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Wakizaka (52')
Aug 31, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Kawasaki
4-0
Sagan Tosu
Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')
May 21, 2022 9am
Gameweek 14
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki
Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')
Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
Gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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