Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.