MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:47:00| >> :60:330:330:
KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Westmaat
PSV

Spakenburg
1 - 2
PSV

Green (59')
van Lopik (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gutierrez (43'), van Aanholt (46')
Gutierrez (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between Spakenburg and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Utrecht 1-4 Spakenburg
Tuesday, February 28 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-4 PSV
Saturday, April 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Spakenburg 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Despite an unbelievable cup run for Spakenburg, PSV ought to have too much for the third-tier side, who do not match the Eredivisie title challengers for technical and match-winning quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.82%) and 0-3 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-0 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
SpakenburgDrawPSV Eindhoven
10.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 16.86% (0.511 0.51) 72.99% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-2.084 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.2% (-2.61 -2.61)40.8% (2.611 2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-2.72 -2.72)63.19% (2.722 2.72)
Spakenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.31% (-1.844 -1.84)47.68% (1.845 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (-1.4 -1.4)83% (1.401 1.4)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.25% (-0.771 -0.77)9.75% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.55% (-1.827 -1.83)32.45% (1.827 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Spakenburg 10.15%
    PSV Eindhoven 72.98%
    Draw 16.86%
SpakenburgDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 3.44% (0.233 0.23)
2-1 @ 2.97% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.15%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.277 0.28)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.533 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 16.86%
0-2 @ 12.59% (0.64 0.64)
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.9 0.9)
0-3 @ 9.78% (0.169 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.24% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-4 @ 5.69% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.21% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-5 @ 2.65% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-6 @ 1.03% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 72.98%

How you voted: Spakenburg vs PSV

Spakenburg
16.7%
Draw
11.1%
PSV Eindhoven
72.2%
72
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