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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.73% ( -0.21) | 20.69% ( -0.05) | 60.57% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( -0.12) | 39.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% ( -0.12) | 61.68% ( 0.12) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% ( -0.29) | 34.51% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.77% ( -0.3) | 71.22% ( 0.31) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.4% ( 0.04) | 12.59% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.31% ( 0.07) | 38.68% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 18.73% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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