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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
Cambuur

PSV
5 - 2
Cambuur

Simons (25'), van Aanholt (54'), El Ghazi (56', 88'), Silva (65' pen.)
Silva (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balk (22'), Sangare (61' og.)
Schmidt (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambuur 4-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, March 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Cambuur

PSV already have a psychological edge over Cambuur given their domination of this fixture. The home side are also on a better run of results, and we can only see this weekend's clash ending in a routine win for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawCambuur
83.42% (0.10300000000001 0.1) 11.1% (-0.023 -0.02) 5.47% (-0.0871 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.86% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.11% (-0.345 -0.34)29.89% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.94% (-0.415 -0.41)51.06% (0.40799999999999 0.41)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.82% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)5.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.49% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)20.51% (0.128 0.13)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.37% (-0.563 -0.56)51.63% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.24% (-0.376 -0.38)85.76% (0.36999999999999 0.37)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 83.41%
    Cambuur 5.47%
    Draw 11.1%
PSV EindhovenDrawCambuur
2-0 @ 11.71% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 11.56% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 8.56% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.129 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 5.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-0 @ 2.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 83.41%
1-1 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 11.1%
0-1 @ 1.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 5.47%

How you voted: PSV vs Cambuur

PSV Eindhoven
85.7%
Draw
5.7%
Cambuur
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Cambuur
1-2
PSV
Joosten (2')
Sylla (38'), Joosten (62'), Hoedemakers (69')
Sylla (60')
Zahavi (44'), Gotze (65')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
PSV
4-1
Cambuur
Propper (17'), Zahavi (20'), Madueke (47'), Boscagli (90+3')
Bangura (65')
Mac-Intosch (32')
May 1, 2016 1.30pm
PSV
6-2
Cambuur
Van Ginkel (15', 92'), De Jong (27'), Pereiro (38'), Maher (63'), Willems (70')
Moreno (61'), Arias (90')
MacIntosh (18'), Byrne (43')
MacIntosh (24'), Byrne (50'), Andriuskevicius (78'), Gregory Monteiro Alvangera (90'), Lachman (91')
Sep 12, 2015 7.45pm
Cambuur
0-6
PSV
De Jong (9' pen., 12', 42'), Propper (56'), Locadia (74', 89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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