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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Real Betis logo

Almeria
2 - 3
Betis

Suarez Charris (27'), Samu (62')
Eguaras (30'), Babic (38')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rodri (6'), Canales (42'), Guardado (70')
Gonzalez (49'), Guardado (51'), Rodriguez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Almeria
Monday, February 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Real Betis

Real Betis will be hoping to bounce back in this match, and they have won four times on their travels in the league this season. Almeria's home record this term has been excellent, though, so we are finding it difficult to back an away victory, instead settling on a low-scoring draw at Power Horse Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawReal Betis
28.02% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 26.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 45.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 49.12% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58% (0.066000000000003 0.07)55.42% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (0.053999999999998 0.05)76.62% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.038999999999987 0.04)35.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (0.044 0.04)71.77% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.031000000000006 0.03)24.4% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.045000000000002 0.05)58.82% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 28.02%
    Real Betis 45.26%
    Draw 26.71%
AlmeriaDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.26%

How you voted: Almeria vs Betis

Almeria
29.8%
Draw
31.0%
Real Betis
39.3%
84
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Dec 16, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Almeria
2-1
Betis
Michel (59'), Zongo (74')
Michel (9'), Bifouma (46'), Trujillo (71'), Corona (84')
Perquis (78')
Perquis (50'), Piccini (61')
Dec 5, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Betis
3-4
Almeria
Castro (80'), Perquis (86'), Molina (90')
Perquis (36'), Caro (60'), Casado (63')
Mane (3'), Dangda (7'), Quique (29'), Mendez (61')
Sanchez (46'), Dangda (57')
May 4, 2014 11am
Almeria
3-2
Betis
Diaz (52'), Vidal (77'), Azeez (94')
Vidal (47'), Rodri (58'), Zongo (96'), Mane (96')
Suso (54')
Rodriguez (60'), Sevilla (71')
N'Diaye (28'), Perquis (59'), Castro (89'), Matilla (96'), Figueras (96'), Reyes (96')
Dec 21, 2013 5pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna186752327-425
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
15Leganes194781829-1119
16AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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