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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Almeria

Valencia
2 - 2
Almeria

Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Cavani (45'), Almeida (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
Melero (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-4 Valencia
Wednesday, January 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Almeria

 Almeria have the worst away record in La Liga this season, picking up just two points from eight matches. Valencia have lost four of their nine league fixtures at Mestalla, but we are just siding with Los Che in this encounter, backing Gattuso's side to pick up an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlmeria
56.33% (0.568 0.57) 23.85% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 19.82% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.661 -0.66)51.41% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.58 -0.58)73.22% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)18.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)49.01% (0.061 0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)40.37% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (-0.901 -0.9)76.99% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 56.32%
    Almeria 19.82%
    Draw 23.85%
ValenciaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 56.32%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.82%

How you voted: Valencia vs Almeria

Valencia
77.5%
Draw
20.0%
Almeria
2.5%
120
Head to Head
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
> Match Report
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
> Match Report
Oct 30, 2013 7pm
Valencia
1-2
Almeria
Jonas (33')
Torsiglieri (61'), Vidal (70')
Dubarbier (20'), Barbosa (28'), Pellerano (35'), Nelson (83'), Suso (85')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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