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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Almeria

Valencia
2 - 2
Almeria

Kluivert (48'), Gaya (65')
Cavani (45'), Almeida (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chumi (54'), Portillo (74')
Melero (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-4 Valencia
Wednesday, January 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Almeria

 Almeria have the worst away record in La Liga this season, picking up just two points from eight matches. Valencia have lost four of their nine league fixtures at Mestalla, but we are just siding with Los Che in this encounter, backing Gattuso's side to pick up an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAlmeria
56.33% (0.568 0.57) 23.85% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 19.82% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-0.661 -0.66)51.41% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.58 -0.58)73.22% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)18.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)49.01% (0.061 0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)40.37% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (-0.901 -0.9)76.99% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 56.32%
    Almeria 19.82%
    Draw 23.85%
ValenciaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 56.32%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.82%

How you voted: Valencia vs Almeria

Valencia
77.5%
Draw
20.0%
Almeria
2.5%
120
Head to Head
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
Almeria
2-3
Valencia
Partey (9'), Soriano (37')
Manuel Casado (68'), Silva (75')
Otamendi (28'), Feghouli (45'), Paco (80')
Barragan (34'), Parejo (69'), Feghouli (75'), Gaya (86'), Fuego (92')
Parejo (89')
> Match Report
Jan 17, 2015 5pm
Valencia
3-2
Almeria
Parejo (11'), Rodrigo (28'), Negredo (83')
Orban (57'), De Paul (86')
Hemed (13', 33')
Partey (40'), Dubarbier (81')
Mar 27, 2014 9pm
Almeria
2-2
Valencia
Diaz (53', 56')
Corona (9'), Parreu (25'), Trujillo (38'), Diaz (56'), Antonio Verza (86')
Keita (2'), Vargas (34')
Fuego (64'), Pereira (90')
> Match Report
Oct 30, 2013 7pm
Valencia
1-2
Almeria
Jonas (33')
Torsiglieri (61'), Vidal (70')
Dubarbier (20'), Barbosa (28'), Pellerano (35'), Nelson (83'), Suso (85')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412
> La Liga Full Table


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