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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Barcelona logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Barcelona


Williams (30'), Zarraga (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (45+1')
Roberto (76')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Barcelona

Barcelona should be fresh entering this match, having not been involved in a midweek fixture, while the returns of Gavi and Lewandowski are key for the Catalan side. Athletic are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will shade this game on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
31.06% (-0.139 -0.14) 26.16% (-0.058 -0.06) 42.78% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.45% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.187 0.19)51.9% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.161 0.16)73.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)67.22% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.18000000000001 0.18)24.07% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (0.257 0.26)58.35% (-0.26 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.06%
    Barcelona 42.78%
    Draw 26.16%
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.06%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.55% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.78%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona

Athletic Bilbao
13.9%
Draw
9.2%
Barcelona
76.9%
173
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 8pm
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Jan 20, 2022 8.30pm
Round of 16
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Barcelona
Muniain (2', 105+1' pen.), Martinez (86')
Garcia (30'), de Marcos (104'), Williams (119'), Muniain (120')
Torres (20'), Pedri (90+3')
Pique (76'), Pedri (97'), de Jong (104'), Alba (105')
Aug 21, 2021 9pm
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Athletic Bilbao
0-4
Barcelona

Garcia (39'), Berchiche (90')
Griezmann (60'), De Jong (63'), Messi (68', 72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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