La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao0 - 1Barcelona
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Barcelona
Barcelona should be fresh entering this match, having not been involved in a midweek fixture, while the returns of Gavi and Lewandowski are key for the Catalan side. Athletic are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will shade this game on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Barcelona |
31.06% ( -0.14) | 26.16% ( -0.06) | 42.78% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
