Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Barcelona |
11.41% ( 2.8) | 17.31% ( 2.57) | 71.28% ( -5.37) |
Both teams to score 50.25% ( 1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% ( -3.66) | 39.23% ( 3.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.43% ( -3.93) | 61.57% ( 3.93) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.68% ( 3.02) | 44.31% ( -3.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.62% ( 2.36) | 80.38% ( -2.36) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.24% ( -2.11) | 9.76% ( 2.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.54% ( -5.15) | 32.46% ( 5.15) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.26) Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.41% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 1.23) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.53) Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.31% | 0-2 @ 11.7% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.58) 0-3 @ 9.08% ( -1.17) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 5.28% ( -1.3) 1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.14) 0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.93) 1-5 @ 2% ( -0.53) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.5) Other @ 3.75% Total : 71.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |