Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.