We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna (Osasuna win 2-1 on aggregate)
Athletic's rich history in the Copa del Rey has to be taken into account here, but the Basque outfit could face frustration on Tuesday night. Osasuna can be a very tough nut to crack, and we are backing the visitors to secure a draw on the evening, which would send them into the final of the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.71%).