Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Real Valladolid |
49.71% ( -0.09) | 24.47% ( 0.05) | 25.82% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.3% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.17% ( -0.2) | 47.83% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.99% ( -0.18) | 70.01% ( 0.18) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.73% ( -0.11) | 19.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.99% ( -0.18) | 51.01% ( 0.18) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.08) | 32.74% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.09) | 69.29% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 45 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
8 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 29 |
10 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 19 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |