Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
39.2% ( -0) | 27.44% ( -0) | 33.36% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( 0.01) | 56.36% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% ( 0) | 77.38% ( -0) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% ( 0) | 28.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% ( 0) | 63.67% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% ( 0.01) | 31.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% ( 0.01) | 68.03% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Osasuna | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
14 | GironaGirona | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |