La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Cadiz1 - 1Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arandina 2-1 Cadiz
Thursday, December 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, December 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Cadiz 1-1 Osasuna
It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence at the moment considering their results. A point each would not be the end of the world for either manager under the circumstances, and we are expecting a tight and cagey match on Sunday to finish in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
40.35% ( -0.01) | 27.8% ( -0) | 31.86% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% ( 0.03) | 57.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% ( 0.02) | 78.67% ( -0.02) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.01) | 28.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.17% ( 0.01) | 63.83% ( -0) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 0.03) | 33.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.87% ( 0.03) | 70.13% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Cadiz 40.34%
Osasuna 31.86%
Draw 27.79%
| Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.86% |
How you voted: Cadiz vs Osasuna
Cadiz
37.8%Draw
37.8%Osasuna
24.3%37
