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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Cadiz logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Cadiz

Gaya (4'), Duro (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (68'), Fali (71'), Sobrino (90+2')
Navarro (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Cadiz

Both sides will be missing a number of important players for this match, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw on Monday night. Goals have been an issue for both sides this term, but we believe that Valencia will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCadiz
53.69% (-0.301 -0.3) 25.17% (0.293 0.29) 21.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-1.091 -1.09)54.92% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.912 -0.91)76.21% (0.905 0.91)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.554 -0.55)20.46% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.884 -0.88)52.92% (0.879 0.88)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.621 -0.62)40.98% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.559 -0.56)77.54% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 53.68%
    Cadiz 21.14%
    Draw 25.16%
ValenciaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Valencia vs Cadiz

Valencia
82.1%
Draw
14.3%
Cadiz
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 32
Cadiz
2-1
Valencia
Escalante (39'), Guardiola (46')
Lino (51')
Jan 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Valencia
0-1
Cadiz
Alcaraz (9')
Apr 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Valencia
0-0
Cadiz
Alderete (59'), Paulista (66'), Diakhaby (90+6')
Fede (33'), Alejo (58'), Alcaraz (77'), Mari (86'), Lozano (87')
Mari (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
2-1
Cadiz
Guedes (24'), Duro (79')
Gaya (34'), Comert (53'), Gomez (87')
Perez (54' pen.)
Alejo (38'), Alcaraz (59'), Sobrino (61'), Cala (71'), Parra (87')
Cala (84')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cadiz
0-0
Valencia
Alarcon (41'), Calderon (72'), Alejo (83')
Alderete (13'), Foulquier (46'), Guillamon (57'), Diakhaby (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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