Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
33.01% ( -2.82) | 26.18% ( -0.14) | 40.8% ( 2.96) |
Both teams to score 53.07% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0.18) | 51.42% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0.16) | 73.23% ( -0.15) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( -1.66) | 29.37% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( -2.09) | 65.36% ( 2.09) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( 1.68) | 24.86% ( -1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( 2.29) | 59.46% ( -2.29) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.01% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |