Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
34.77% | 26.96% | 38.26% |
Both teams to score 50.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.69% | 54.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.3% | 75.69% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% | 29.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% | 65.73% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% | 27.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% | 63.1% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 38.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |