La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Cadiz2 - 2Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo
It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Celta Vigo |
30.92% ( -0.29) | 28.32% ( 0.23) | 40.76% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.89) | 60.07% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% ( -0.68) | 80.29% ( 0.68) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( -0.69) | 35.28% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.96% ( -0.73) | 72.04% ( 0.72) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.4) | 28.92% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.2% ( -0.5) | 64.8% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
Cadiz 30.92%
Celta Vigo 40.75%
Draw 28.31%
| Cadiz | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.09% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 40.75% |
How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo
Cadiz
29.2%Draw
30.8%Celta Vigo
40.0%65
Form Guide
