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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (18')
Acuna (29'), Ramos (29'), Navas (56'), Soumare (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (72'), Strand Larsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Sevilla
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a tough match to call, as Sevilla have struggled with consistency this season, and Celta will be hoping for a new manager bounce this weekend. We are expecting a tight match but believe that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
49.4% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87) 25.7% (0.374 0.37) 24.91% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-1.052 -1.05)53.51% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.897 -0.9)75.03% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.69% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (-1.241 -1.24)54.83% (1.244 1.24)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.136 -0.14)36.59% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-0.14 -0.14)73.37% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 49.39%
    Celta Vigo 24.91%
    Draw 25.69%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
82.5%
Draw
15.9%
Celta Vigo
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')
En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Veiga (33')
Salas (54')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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