La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Elche1 - 2Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Elche 0-1 Girona
Elche are going to end their winless run at some point, but we are finding it difficult to predict that to happen on Tuesday night. Girona have been impressive in their last two matches, and we are expecting Michel's side to collect another three points in their final league fixture before the break. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Girona |
31.18% ( -0.27) | 27.31% ( -0.23) | 41.51% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( 0.8) | 56.36% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( 0.64) | 77.38% ( -0.64) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0.23) | 33.13% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.25) | 69.73% ( -0.25) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( 0.64) | 26.75% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.98% ( 0.84) | 62.02% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
Elche 31.18%
Girona 41.5%
Draw 27.31%
| Elche | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.5% |
How you voted: Elche vs Girona
Elche
20.8%Draw
20.2%Girona
58.9%168
