Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
61.36% ( 0.37) | 22.85% ( -0.12) | 15.79% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 44.52% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% ( 0.07) | 53.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( 0.06) | 74.85% ( -0.06) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.16) | 16.96% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.94% ( 0.27) | 47.06% ( -0.27) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.61% ( -0.29) | 46.39% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.98% ( -0.22) | 82.02% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |