We said: Cadiz 1-1 Espanyol
Cadiz will have been encouraged by their last two results, and they will now take on an Espanyol side that have won just once in the league this season. Both teams will view this as a winnable fixture, but we are finding it difficult to separate them and have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 35.06%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (12.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.