Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
30.1% ( 0.05) | 29.77% ( -0.03) | 40.13% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.9% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.01% ( 0.1) | 64.99% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.11% ( 0.07) | 83.88% ( -0.08) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.39% ( 0.1) | 38.61% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( 0.09) | 75.35% ( -0.09) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( 0.04) | 31.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( 0.05) | 68.18% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 14.06% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |