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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
Valencia logo

Getafe
1 - 0
Valencia

Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atzeneta 1-2 Getafe
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arosa 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Getafe 1-1 Valencia

This is a really difficult match to call, especially considering how the two teams have performed in the league this season. Getafe have shared the points in seven of their 15 La Liga matches this term, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.88%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 29.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Getafe in this match.

Result
GetafeDrawValencia
40.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 29.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 29.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.09% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55% (-0.012 -0.01)84.45% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)31.72% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)68.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)39.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.023 0.02)76.49% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 40.87%
    Valencia 29.16%
    Draw 29.95%
GetafeDrawValencia
1-0 @ 14.5%
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 29.16%

How you voted: Getafe vs Valencia

Getafe
54.7%
Draw
28.1%
Valencia
17.2%
64
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (82')
Sep 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
5-1
Getafe
Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')
Alvarez (78')
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Getafe
0-0
Valencia
Ramirez (39'), Alena (49'), Mayoral (73'), Flores (73'), Mata (80'), Maksimovic (90+2'), Olivera (90+4')
Alderete (31'), Guillamon (82'), Moriba (87'), Foulquier (90+4'), Costa (90+5')
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-0
Getafe
Soler (11' pen.)
Wass (13'), Soler (50'), Gomez (57'), Gaya (70'), Jason (90+2'), Alderete (90+6')
Guillamon (3')

Olivera (31'), Cabaco (38'), Miguel Gonzalez Martin del Campo (83')
Cabaco (76')
Feb 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 25
Getafe
3-0
Valencia
Arambarri (39'), Mata (55'), Alena (87')
Unal (13'), Dakonam (29'), Cabaco (31'), Cucurella (57'), Nyom (76')

Correia (6'), Gaya (76')
Diakhaby (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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