Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Girona |
35.39% ( -0.07) | 27.75% ( 0.01) | 36.86% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.66% ( -0.05) | 57.34% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( -0.04) | 78.16% ( 0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.07) | 30.79% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.08) | 67.07% ( 0.08) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.12% ( 0.01) | 29.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.03% ( 0.01) | 65.97% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |