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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Girona logo

Valencia
1 - 3
Girona

Pepelu (84' pen.)
Foulquier (26'), Correia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Savio (32'), Dovbyk (58'), Gasiorowski (67' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia
Thursday, May 16 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, May 14 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Girona

This is shaping up to be a fascinating clash, and Valencia will fancy their chances at home despite their recent run of form. Girona are already guaranteed a top-four spot, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a close match on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawGirona
35.39% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.75% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 36.86% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)57.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)78.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)30.79% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)67.07% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.012 0.01)65.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.38%
    Girona 36.86%
    Draw 27.75%
ValenciaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.86%

How you voted: Valencia vs Girona

Valencia
20.3%
Draw
28.4%
Girona
51.4%
74
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-1
Valencia
Stuani (82', 88')
Blind (36'), Couto (42'), Savio (90+2')
Duro (56')
Gasiorowski (61'), Duro (77'), Paulista (90+6')
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Girona
1-0
Valencia
Garcia (63')
Aug 14, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-0
Girona
Soler (45+1' pen.)
Correia (56'), Gattuso (57'), Vazquez (69')
Comert (52')

Couto (14'), Saiz (44'), Fernandez (45')
Mar 10, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Girona
2-3
Valencia
Ramalho (22'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Alcala (88')
Guedes (14'), Parejo (53'), Torres (90')
Gaya (20'), Roncaglia (62'), Diakhaby (82')
Roncaglia (72')
Nov 3, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Valencia
0-1
Girona

Gaya (28'), Coquelin (36'), Paulista (77'), Kondogbia (79')
Pons (48')
Doumbia (30'), Muniesa (39'), Planas (40'), Bono (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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