La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 1Granada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Granada
Rayo may have failed to win any of their last three matches, but Wednesday's game represents a golden chance to return to winning ways. Granada have lost 14 of their 17 away La Liga games this season, and we think that they will fall to another defeat at Vallecas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Granada |
60.74% ( 0.38) | 22.68% ( -0.15) | 16.58% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
