Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
44.07% ( -2.25) | 27.43% ( 0.75) | 28.5% ( 1.49) |
Both teams to score 47.37% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.2% ( -2) | 57.81% ( 2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.47% ( -1.61) | 78.54% ( 1.61) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -2.01) | 26.07% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -2.78) | 61.12% ( 2.77) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( 0.12) | 35.92% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( 0.12) | 72.7% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |