Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.97% ( 0.11) | 27.56% ( 0.11) | 46.47% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 45.37% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.47% ( -0.29) | 59.53% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.12% ( -0.23) | 79.88% ( 0.23) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% ( -0.06) | 38.98% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( -0.06) | 75.7% ( 0.06) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.24) | 25.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.32) | 60.55% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |