MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 23:13:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Valladolid logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Valladolid

Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Guruzeta (45+1'), Herrera (49'), Vencedor (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monchu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid will enter this match full of confidence, but the same cannot be said for Athletic due to their recent struggles. Athletic will be the favourites on Tuesday, but Real Valladolid's form deserves a lot of respect, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
60.74% (0.684 0.68) 22.97% (-0.181 -0.18) 16.29% (-0.495 -0.5)
Both teams to score 45.2% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.067 -0.07)52.96% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)74.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.21899999999999 0.22)17.06% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.378 0.38)47.23% (-0.371 -0.37)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.684 -0.68)45.51% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.546 -0.55)81.34% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 60.73%
    Real Valladolid 16.29%
    Draw 22.96%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.14% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao
62.1%
Draw
18.2%
Real Valladolid
19.7%
132
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
Oct 20, 2019 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valladolid
Williams (33')
Alvarez (58'), Aduriz (79')
Martinez (71' og.)
Salisu (38'), Borja (75'), Masip (90')
May 5, 2019 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rubio (21')
Plano (11'), Michel (35'), Alcaraz (41'), Borja (50'), Toni (84')

Capa (30'), Garcia (30'), San Jose (55'), Aduriz (90'), Muniain (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!