La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna1 - 0Valladolid
We said: Osasuna 2-1 Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid have now won their last two matches on their travels, but Osasuna have been impressive in Spain's top flight this season, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a home win for Moreno's team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
39.38% ( -0.07) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 35.41% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
