Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
47.54% ( 4.96) | 28.99% ( -0.13) | 23.47% ( -4.83) |
Both teams to score 39.84% ( -2.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.52% ( -1.95) | 65.48% ( 1.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.78% ( -1.37) | 84.22% ( 1.38) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( 1.69) | 27.9% ( -1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( 2.11) | 63.51% ( -2.11) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.26% ( -5.5) | 44.74% ( 5.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.28% ( -4.78) | 80.72% ( 4.78) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 15.93% ( 1.8) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 1.56) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.56% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -1.03) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.55) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.5) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |